Two years later, as the November 2012 election
results began to trickle in, Glen reminded me of my quote from two years
earlier and inquired whether I still believed the Democratic Party is dead in
Alabama? I replied, “You know, Glen, I made that assessment on the spur of the
moment without any deep thought or study. However, with two years to reflect
and contemplate, I am totally convinced that my first impression is correct.
The Democratic Party is dead in Alabama.”
My prophecy became more conclusive when the final
2012 results were recorded later that night. Barack Obama had been shellacked
in Alabama and the last statewide Democratic officeholder had gone down with
him. You can safely say and history will record that Barack Obama drove the
final nail in the Democratic coffin in Alabama.
As we look toward the 2014 statewide elections we
are without question a one party state. The proof is in the pudding. A
presidential Democratic candidate has not carried Alabama since 1976. Jimmy
Carter was the last Democrat to carry the state 38 years ago.
On the state level, all seven constitutional
offices, including Governor, Lt. Governor, Attorney General, Agriculture
Commissioner, Treasurer, Secretary of State and Auditor are Republicans. All
nine members of the State Supreme Court are Republican, along with all members
of the Courts of Civil and Criminal Appeals.
The aforementioned 2010 tsunami swept most of the
longtime Democrats out of the legislature. This legislative triumph by the GOP
was the last leg of the triumvirate. Republican control of Alabama state
government is now complete. The 2010 elections resulted in a super majority
Republican legislature in both the House and Senate. The GOP holds a two to one
advantage. This overwhelming majority has been solidified for the next decade
because the Republicans held the pencil when the lines were redrawn. The new
districts will be in place through 2022.
When it became newsworthy a few weeks ago that Joe
Reed and Mark Kennedy had a spat over who was going to be in charge of the
Democratic Party in Alabama, I found it comical. It is as though they thought
the Democratic Party had any relevance or influence regarding Alabama politics.
Mark Kennedy, a former Democratic Supreme Court
Justice and the son-in-law of George Wallace, is a relic. He is one of the last
remaining white Democrats in the state.
Joe Reed has been the ringleader of the African
American wing of the Democratic Party for close to 50 years. When African
Americans began voting in the South in 1966, Joe Reed organized the Alabama
Democratic Conference. It was the group that newly entitled blacks looked to
for guidance on who to vote for in the Democratic primary.
If you won the Democratic primary in 1966 it was tantamount
to election in Alabama, the same way that if you win the Republican primary for
any statewide office next year it will be tantamount to election.
Joe Reed was a king maker back then when the state
was Democratic. Today he is irrelevant, as is Mark Kennedy or whoever chooses
to head the Alabama Democratic Party. Today the Democratic Party in Alabama is
nothing more than a qualifying mechanism for the Black Belt and Montgomery and
Jefferson counties.
Seventy percent of Alabamians identify themselves as
conservatives. The Republican Party is the conservative party. Therefore, it is
no coincidence that 70% of Alabamians are Republicans and 30% are Democrats.
Welcome to political science 101. Whites in the Deep
South are Republicans. Blacks in the Deep South are Democrats. Lest you think
that white Republicans are the most segregated, think again. Blacks are more
solidified when it comes to partisan voting patterns. The fact is Joe Reed
probably does not want any whites in his party and he pretty much has
accomplished his mission.
See you next week.
About the author: Steve Flowers is Alabama’s leading
political columnist. His column appears weekly in more than 70 Alabama
newspapers. Steve served 16 years in the state legislature. He may be reached
at http://www.steveflowers.us.
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