The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is at a
record high, and the unemployment rate has ticked down to 7.7 percent, but this
is no time to celebrate. The economy is still in the doldrums.
A little perspective: The news media trumpet changes
in the Dow as though it tells us almost all we need to know about the economic
fate of the American people. That’s nonsense. Not everyone thinks the arbitrary
index of 30 busily traded blue-chip stocks is terribly relevant to gauging the
condition of the economy. Moreover, the average, which reflects the daily
change in the companies’ stock prices, is not adjusted for inflation. In
nominal terms the Dow hit a record high of 14,447.29 this month. But in real
adjusted terms, the average is only at the level reached in the year 2000. In
other words, if you invested in the companies that year, you’re no richer now,
because the dollar has depreciated thanks to the Federal Reserve. That doesn’t
sound so remarkable.